If the season ended today...NFL Week 16

Just the AFC for right now...

1- New England (12-3)
AFC East title
Clinched first-round bye
Clinches home-field with win or Bal & Pit loss/tie
(If NE, Bal, and Pit finish 12-4; Bal wins home field. The win head-to-head over Pit; then would win tie-breaker over NE. They would be tied in conference record, but Bal would win in the next tie-breaker: strength of victory. They have a three-win margin right now over NE (80-77). If NE loses, the range NE could increase its SOV next week is 5-7 games. The range for Baltimore is 12-16 games (they would gain a +9 by beating Cin alone.) Thus, there is no way NE could overcome.)

2- Baltimore (11-4)
AFC North leader
[wins tie-breaker over Pit based on head-to-head 2-0]
Clinches division with win OR Pit loss/tie OR tie & Pit loss/tie
Clinches home-field with win AND NE loss
Clinches first-round bye with Pit loss AND Hou loss/tie OR tie & Pit loss/tie & Hou loss/tie

3- Houston (10-5)
AFC South title
Clinches first-round bye with win & Bal loss & Pit loss

4- Denver (8-7)
AFC West leader
[wins tie-breaker over Oak based on common games 7-6 to 6-7]
Clinches AFC West and #4 seed with win OR tie & Oak tie
[loss eliminates Denver]

5- Pittsburgh (11-4)
Wild Card #1 [clinched playoff spot]
wins AFC North and first round bye with win/tie AND Bal loss
Clinches home-field with win AND Bal loss and NE loss
#5 seed if Bal wins

6- Cincinnati (9-6)
Wild Card #2
Clinches #6 seed with win/tie OR
Oak loss/tie & NYJ loss/tie & Ten loss/tie

 Match-ups
Wild Card: Cin @ Hou; Pit @ Den
Divisional: Cin/Pit/Den @ NE; Hou/Pit/Den @ Bal

Also still alive...(if any team loses, they are eliminated)
Oakland (8-7)
Wins AFC West and #4 seed with win AND Den loss/tie
Wins wild card and #6 seed if win AND Cin loss & Ten loss OR Cin loss & NYJ win & Ten win (Oak would win SOV over Ten and NYJ- currently its Oak 53 SOV wins- NYJ 47- Ten 45. The minimum Oak will increase their SOV next week (in this scenario) is 11. The max NYJ can increase is 13; Ten- 17. Thus, even in the worst case for Oak, it would be 64-60-62.

Tennessee (8-7)
Wins wild card and #6 seed with
win AND Cin loss & Oak loss/tie OR
win AND Cin loss & NYJ loss/tie

New York (8-7)
Wins wild card and #6 seed with
win AND Cin loss & Oak loss/tie & Ten loss/tie

NFC
1- Green Bay (14-1)
NFC North title
Clinched home-field

2- San Francisco (12-3)
NFC West title
Conference record (9-2) over New Orleans (8-3) for #2 seed
Can clinch #2 seed with win OR tie & NO loss/tie OR NO loss/tie

3- New Orleans (12-3)
NFC South title
Can clinch #2 seed with win & SF loss/tie OR tie & SF loss

4- New York (8-7)
NFC East leader
can clinch NFC East lead and #4 seed with win/tie
[eliminated with loss]

5- Detroit (10-5)
Wild Card #1 [clinched]
can clinch #5 seed with win/tie OR Atl loss/tie

6- Atlanta (9-6)
Wild Card #2 [clinched]
can clinch #6 seed with win & Det loss


 Match-ups
Wild Card: Atl @ NO; Det @ NYG
Divisional: Atl/Det/NYG @ GB; NO/Det/NYG @ SF

Still alive
Dallas (8-7)
can clinch NFC East and #4 seed with win
[eliminated with loss]