Tuesday, December 20, 2011

If the season ended today...NFL Week 15

The nitty gritty is a upon us. Now, the rest of the major media has caught on to what I started week 1. Here we go....

NFC
1- Green Bay (13-1)
NFC North title (clinched)
Clinched first-round bye
Clinches home field with win or SF loss

2- San Francisco (11-3)
NFC West title (clinched)
Clinches first-round bye with win and NO loss
Clinches home field with two wins and two GB losses (tiebreaker based on common games)

3- New Orelans (11-3)
NFC South leader
clinches division with win or tie vs. Atl
can still be #2 seed

4- Dallas (8-6)
NFC East leader
Clinches East with win and NYG loss/tie
(East winner will be #4 seed no matter what)

5- Atlanta (9-5)
Wild Card #1 leader
head-to-head over Detroit for tiebreaker
clinches playoff spot with win or tie
Can still win NFC South (with two wins and two NO losses)
Can still be #2 seed if they win SOV over SF

6- Detroit (9-5)
clinches playoff spot with win or tie

Still alive: division or wild card only: NYG (7-7) ; wild card only:  Chi (7-7), Ari (7-7), Sea (7-7); division only: Phi (6-8)

Loss/tie eliminate Philadelphia, Seattle, Arizona and Chicago.

Matchups:
Wild Card: Det @ NO; Atl @ Dal
Divisional: Det/Atl/Dal @ GB; NO/Atl/Dal @ SF

AFC
1- New England (11-3)
AFC East title (clinched)
Clinch home field with win/tie and Bal LOSS & Pit LOSS & Hou LOSS

2- Baltimore (10-4)
AFC North leader
Clinched playoff spot
head-to-head over Pit (2-0) for North lead; head-to-head over Hou (1-0) for #2 seed
Can clinch AFC North with WIN & Pit LOSS

3- Houston (10-4)
AFC South title (clinched)

4- Denver (8-6)
AFC West leader

5- Pittsburgh (10-4)
AFC Wild Card #1 leader
Clinched playoff spot

6- New York (8-6)
AFC Wild Card #2 leader
common games (3-2) over Cincinnati (2-2) for #6 seed

Still alive: Cincinnati (8-6, wild card only); Tennessee (7-7, wild card only); Kansas City (6-8, division only); wild card or division: Oak (7-7); SD (7-7)

Loss/tie eliminates Kansas City.

Matchups:
Wild Card: NYJ @ Hou; Pit @ Den
Divisional: NYJ/Pit/Den @ NE; Hou/Pit/Den @ Bal

Draft Order (tiebreaker is stronger Strength of Schedule (SOS) moves higher in the order):
1- Indianapolis (1-13)
2- St. Louis (2-12, .558 SOS)
3- Minnesota (2-12, .567 SOS)
4- Tampa Bay (4-10, .545 SOS)
5- Cleveland (4-10, .522 SOS)

6- Jacksonville (4-10, .500 SOS)
7- Buffalo (5-9, .522 SOS)
8- Miami (5-9, .518 SOS)
9- Carolina (5-9, .504 SOS)
10- Washington (5-9, .459 SOS)
11- Kansas City (6-8, .513 SOS)
12- Philadelphia (6-8, .500 SOS)
13-Seattle (7-7, .543 SOS)
14- Chicago (7-7, .527 SOS); wins tie-breaker over NYG based on conference games (6-4 over 4-7)
15- New York Giants (7-7, .527 SOS)

16- Oakland (7-7, . 518 SOS); wins tie-breaker over SD based on head-to-head (1-0)
17- San Diego (7-7, . 518 SOS)
18- Arizona (7-7, .469 SOS)
19- Tennessee (7-7, . 464 SOS)
20- Cincinnati (8-6)

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