Sunday, September 11, 2011

NFL Week 1 Playoff Match-Ups

If the season ended today...

Although completely theoretical, this is the current playoff rankings if the NFL called it quits after this week. Since it is early in the season, the most common tiebreaker will be strength of schedule (the number six tiebreaker). I computed this information by creating my own NFL matrix on a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet.

After the first 14 games of the NFL schedule, the NFC seeds are now complete. The road to the Super Bowl goes through San Francisco.

Remember, you have to break the tie within the division first, before comparing it to teams in other divisions.

1- SF (1-0) 
[Strength of Schedule (SOS) tiebreaker over Ari (.467 to .375) to win West; SOS (.467) over Was (.438) and Chi (.438) for #1 seed.]

2- Chi (1-0)
[SOS (.438 w/Det) over GB (.375) and Best Combined Conference Ranking in Points Scored and Points Allowed (8/1) over Det (11/5) for North title;  Best Combined Conference Ranking in Points Scored and Points Allowed (8/1) over Was (9/3) for #2seed {tiebreaker #7}]

3- Was (1-0)
[Division (1.00) over Phi (.000)]

4- Car (0-1)
[SOS (.438) over Atl (.400), TB (.375) and NO (.313)]

5- Phi (1-0)
[SOS (.500) over Det (.438) and Ari (.375)]

6- Det (1-0)
[SOS (.438) over GB (.375) to break division tie; SOS (.438) over Ari (.375)]

Matchups:
Wild Card: Det @ Was; Phi @ Car
Division: Det/Phi/Car @ SF; Was/Phi/Car @ SF

Arizona and Green Bay are the odd teams out.

AFC match-ups will be determined after the games Monday night.


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