Tuesday, December 27, 2011

If the season ended today...NFL Week 16

Just the AFC for right now...

1- New England (12-3)
AFC East title
Clinched first-round bye
Clinches home-field with win or Bal & Pit loss/tie
(If NE, Bal, and Pit finish 12-4; Bal wins home field. The win head-to-head over Pit; then would win tie-breaker over NE. They would be tied in conference record, but Bal would win in the next tie-breaker: strength of victory. They have a three-win margin right now over NE (80-77). If NE loses, the range NE could increase its SOV next week is 5-7 games. The range for Baltimore is 12-16 games (they would gain a +9 by beating Cin alone.) Thus, there is no way NE could overcome.)

2- Baltimore (11-4)
AFC North leader
[wins tie-breaker over Pit based on head-to-head 2-0]
Clinches division with win OR Pit loss/tie OR tie & Pit loss/tie
Clinches home-field with win AND NE loss
Clinches first-round bye with Pit loss AND Hou loss/tie OR tie & Pit loss/tie & Hou loss/tie

3- Houston (10-5)
AFC South title
Clinches first-round bye with win & Bal loss & Pit loss

4- Denver (8-7)
AFC West leader
[wins tie-breaker over Oak based on common games 7-6 to 6-7]
Clinches AFC West and #4 seed with win OR tie & Oak tie
[loss eliminates Denver]

5- Pittsburgh (11-4)
Wild Card #1 [clinched playoff spot]
wins AFC North and first round bye with win/tie AND Bal loss
Clinches home-field with win AND Bal loss and NE loss
#5 seed if Bal wins

6- Cincinnati (9-6)
Wild Card #2
Clinches #6 seed with win/tie OR
Oak loss/tie & NYJ loss/tie & Ten loss/tie

 Match-ups
Wild Card: Cin @ Hou; Pit @ Den
Divisional: Cin/Pit/Den @ NE; Hou/Pit/Den @ Bal

Also still alive...(if any team loses, they are eliminated)
Oakland (8-7)
Wins AFC West and #4 seed with win AND Den loss/tie
Wins wild card and #6 seed if win AND Cin loss & Ten loss OR Cin loss & NYJ win & Ten win (Oak would win SOV over Ten and NYJ- currently its Oak 53 SOV wins- NYJ 47- Ten 45. The minimum Oak will increase their SOV next week (in this scenario) is 11. The max NYJ can increase is 13; Ten- 17. Thus, even in the worst case for Oak, it would be 64-60-62.

Tennessee (8-7)
Wins wild card and #6 seed with
win AND Cin loss & Oak loss/tie OR
win AND Cin loss & NYJ loss/tie

New York (8-7)
Wins wild card and #6 seed with
win AND Cin loss & Oak loss/tie & Ten loss/tie

NFC
1- Green Bay (14-1)
NFC North title
Clinched home-field

2- San Francisco (12-3)
NFC West title
Conference record (9-2) over New Orleans (8-3) for #2 seed
Can clinch #2 seed with win OR tie & NO loss/tie OR NO loss/tie

3- New Orleans (12-3)
NFC South title
Can clinch #2 seed with win & SF loss/tie OR tie & SF loss

4- New York (8-7)
NFC East leader
can clinch NFC East lead and #4 seed with win/tie
[eliminated with loss]

5- Detroit (10-5)
Wild Card #1 [clinched]
can clinch #5 seed with win/tie OR Atl loss/tie

6- Atlanta (9-6)
Wild Card #2 [clinched]
can clinch #6 seed with win & Det loss


 Match-ups
Wild Card: Atl @ NO; Det @ NYG
Divisional: Atl/Det/NYG @ GB; NO/Det/NYG @ SF

Still alive
Dallas (8-7)
can clinch NFC East and #4 seed with win
[eliminated with loss]

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Giants roster update

In a bit of a surprising move, the Giants did offer backup catcher Eli Whiteside a contract, and he did accept.

Initially, it was thought Whiteside, an arbitration eligible player, was non-tendered, but that turned out not to be the case.

It is also reported that the Giants (as expected), resigned relief pitcher Guillermo Mota.

Those two additions now bump up the 40-man roster to 39 men.

As far as the catcher situation, it will now be a three-man race to back up Buster Posey. Whiteside, Chris Stewart and rookie Hector Sanchez will all vie for the spot. Will the team keep one or two backup backstops? Will they send the remaining catchers down to Fresno? Stay turned.

Also, the agent of P Eric Hacker tweets that the pitcher signed a minor league contract with the Giants. Hacker pitched with Fresno in 2010, then with Rochester (Minnesota Triple-A) in 2011, with  a 7-14 record, 6.10 ERA, 1.555 WHP. His 2010 numbers (16-8, 4.51, 1.467) were slightly better. He has two MLB games to his credit, in 2009 with the Yankees.

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

If the season ended today...NFL Week 15

The nitty gritty is a upon us. Now, the rest of the major media has caught on to what I started week 1. Here we go....

NFC
1- Green Bay (13-1)
NFC North title (clinched)
Clinched first-round bye
Clinches home field with win or SF loss

2- San Francisco (11-3)
NFC West title (clinched)
Clinches first-round bye with win and NO loss
Clinches home field with two wins and two GB losses (tiebreaker based on common games)

3- New Orelans (11-3)
NFC South leader
clinches division with win or tie vs. Atl
can still be #2 seed

4- Dallas (8-6)
NFC East leader
Clinches East with win and NYG loss/tie
(East winner will be #4 seed no matter what)

5- Atlanta (9-5)
Wild Card #1 leader
head-to-head over Detroit for tiebreaker
clinches playoff spot with win or tie
Can still win NFC South (with two wins and two NO losses)
Can still be #2 seed if they win SOV over SF

6- Detroit (9-5)
clinches playoff spot with win or tie

Still alive: division or wild card only: NYG (7-7) ; wild card only:  Chi (7-7), Ari (7-7), Sea (7-7); division only: Phi (6-8)

Loss/tie eliminate Philadelphia, Seattle, Arizona and Chicago.

Matchups:
Wild Card: Det @ NO; Atl @ Dal
Divisional: Det/Atl/Dal @ GB; NO/Atl/Dal @ SF

AFC
1- New England (11-3)
AFC East title (clinched)
Clinch home field with win/tie and Bal LOSS & Pit LOSS & Hou LOSS

2- Baltimore (10-4)
AFC North leader
Clinched playoff spot
head-to-head over Pit (2-0) for North lead; head-to-head over Hou (1-0) for #2 seed
Can clinch AFC North with WIN & Pit LOSS

3- Houston (10-4)
AFC South title (clinched)

4- Denver (8-6)
AFC West leader

5- Pittsburgh (10-4)
AFC Wild Card #1 leader
Clinched playoff spot

6- New York (8-6)
AFC Wild Card #2 leader
common games (3-2) over Cincinnati (2-2) for #6 seed

Still alive: Cincinnati (8-6, wild card only); Tennessee (7-7, wild card only); Kansas City (6-8, division only); wild card or division: Oak (7-7); SD (7-7)

Loss/tie eliminates Kansas City.

Matchups:
Wild Card: NYJ @ Hou; Pit @ Den
Divisional: NYJ/Pit/Den @ NE; Hou/Pit/Den @ Bal

Draft Order (tiebreaker is stronger Strength of Schedule (SOS) moves higher in the order):
1- Indianapolis (1-13)
2- St. Louis (2-12, .558 SOS)
3- Minnesota (2-12, .567 SOS)
4- Tampa Bay (4-10, .545 SOS)
5- Cleveland (4-10, .522 SOS)

6- Jacksonville (4-10, .500 SOS)
7- Buffalo (5-9, .522 SOS)
8- Miami (5-9, .518 SOS)
9- Carolina (5-9, .504 SOS)
10- Washington (5-9, .459 SOS)
11- Kansas City (6-8, .513 SOS)
12- Philadelphia (6-8, .500 SOS)
13-Seattle (7-7, .543 SOS)
14- Chicago (7-7, .527 SOS); wins tie-breaker over NYG based on conference games (6-4 over 4-7)
15- New York Giants (7-7, .527 SOS)

16- Oakland (7-7, . 518 SOS); wins tie-breaker over SD based on head-to-head (1-0)
17- San Diego (7-7, . 518 SOS)
18- Arizona (7-7, .469 SOS)
19- Tennessee (7-7, . 464 SOS)
20- Cincinnati (8-6)

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Giants roster update

According to "Shea Hey" (John Shea of the SF Chronicle), the Giants non-tendered two players, C Eli Whiteside and 2B Jeff Keppinger at the December 12 deadline to offer arbitration-eligible players or let them go as free agents.

The Giants made the following moves during the Winter Meetings:
Added:
OF Angel Pagan  (trade with NYM)


Subtractions:
OF Andres Torres (traded to NYM)
P Ramon Ramirez (traded to NYM)
2B Jeff Keppinger (non-tendered)
C Eli Whiteside (non-tendered)

The 40-man currently looks like: (* arbitration-eligible)
Pitchers (15)
Jeremy Affeldt
Madison Bumgarner
Matt Cain
Santiago Casilla*
Hector Correa (added during offseason)
Steve Edlefsen
Tim Lincecum*
Javier Lopez
Danny Otero (added during offseason)
Sergio Romo*
Dan Runzler
Eric Surkamp
Ryan Vogelsong*
Brian Wilson
Barry Zito

Catchers (3)
Buster Posey
Hector Sanchez
Chris Stewart

Infielders (12)
Ehire Adrianza
Brandon Belt
Emmanuel Burriss*
Brnado Crawford
Charlie Culbertson (added during offseason)
Mike Fontenot*
Conor Gillaspie
Aubrey Huff
Brett Pill
Freddy Sanchez
Pablo Sandoval*
Angel Villalona (added during offseason)

Outfielders (7):
Melky Cabrera* (added during offseason)
Justin Christian
Tyler Graham (added during offseason)
Roger Kieschnick  (added during offseason)
Angel Pagan*  (added during offseason)
Francisco Peguero
Nate Schierholtz*

The Giants have 37 men on the 40-man, leaving room for three more.

Current Giants Free Agents
OF Carlos Beltran
OF Pat Burrell
2B Orlando Cabrera
UT Mark DeRosa
P Guillermo Mota
OF Cody Ross

Of the six, the only rumored re-signing is Mota. Burrell is likely to retire. DeRosa is rumored to stay on a minor league deal. The remaining free agents are probably not going to be signed.

The Giants can still sign Whiteside and Keppinger, as they are now free agents.




Sunday, December 11, 2011

NFL Week 14 seedings/draft

NFC

1- Green Bay (13-0)
NFC North (clinched)
First-round bye (clinched)
Home-field with win or SF loss

2- San Francisco (10-3)
NFC West (clinched)
Conference games (8-2) over  New Orleans (6-3) for #2 seed

3- New Orleans (10-3)
NFC South leader
playoff spot (clinched)
can clinch NFC South with win and Atlanta loss/tie OR tie and Atlanta loss

4- New York (7-6)
NFC East leader
Head to head (1-0) over Dallas for NFC East lead

5- Atlanta (8-5)
Wild Card #1
Head to head (1-0) over Detroit for Wild Card #1

6- Detroit (8-5)
Wild Card #2

Matchups:
Wild Card: Det @ NO; Atl @ NYG
Divisional: Det/Atl/NYG @ GB; NO/Atl/NYG @ SF


AFC

1- Houston (10-3)
AFC South (clinched)
Conference (8-2) over New England/Baltimore (both 7-2) for #1 seed

2- Baltimore (10-3)
AFC North leader
Head-to-head sweep over Pittsburgh for top seed in North; common games (4-0) over New England (3-1) for #2 seed


3- New England (10-3)
AFC East leader


4- Denver (8-5)
AFC West leader


5- Pittsburgh (10-3)
Wild Card #1 
Can clinch playoff spot with win OR loss by TEN & OAK


6- New York (8-5) 
Wild Card #2


Matchups:
Wild Card: NYJ @ NE; Pit @ Den
Divisional: NYJ/Pit/Den @ Hou; NE/Pit/Den @ Bal

Draft: (SOS- strength of schedule)
1- Indianapolis (0-13)
2-  Minnesota (2-11, .567 SOS)
3- St. Louis (2-11, .553 SOS)
4- Tampa Bay (4-9, .538 SOS)
5- Cleveland (4-9, .529 SOS)
6- Miami (4-9, .524 SOS)
7- Jacksonville (4-9, .505 SOS) wins tie-breaker over Carolina b/c of head to head victory
8- Carolina (4-9, .505 SOS)
9- Washington (4-9, .457 SOS) 
10- Kansas City (5-8, .524 SOS)
11- Buffalo (5-8, .514 SOS)
12- Philadelphia (5-8, .490 SOS)
13- San Diego (6-7, .534 SOS)
14- Seattle (6-7, .538 SOS)
15- Arizona (6-7, .462 SOS)
16- Oakland (7-6, .524 SOS) wins tie-breaker over Chicago b/c of head to head victory
17- Chicago (7-6, .524 SOS)
18- Cincinnati (7-6, .510 SOS)
19- Dallas (7-6, .474 SOS)
20- Tennessee (7-6, .471 SOS)

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

More on interleague scheduling

Come 2013, with the NL and AL both with 15 teams, it means ever day will have an interleague game. Something to consider:

Under my plan below, every team would play 30 interleague games (15 home/15 away) versus five different opponents or 10 interleague series (3 games apiece).

This means there would be 150 total separate interleauge series (30 teams *10 series/2). My calculations have the schedule with 54 separate series (average of 3 games apiece = 162 games).

So, 150-54=96 series "left over." This means that there can be a full interleague schedule for three weeks (96 series/15 at a time =6 plus 6 series left over).

How to balance the baseball schedule

Starting in 2013, the AL and NL will have 15 teams apiece. The biggest change to the schedule means there must be an interleague series every day, as opposed to bundling it up in on block. How will this work?

Well, there is a way to now have a balanced schedule, meaning each team will be similar schedules. Here's how:

Each team would play nine home games vs. its four divisional opponents (9 games x 4 teams = 36 games).
Each team would play three home games vs. the other 10 teams in its league (3 games x 10 teams = 30 games).
Each team would play would play three games vs. five teams for the other league (3 games x 5 teams = 15 games).

36+30+15= 81 games (double for road games).

It would be simple enough to have a divisional rotation for interleague play, similar to the NFL. However, there are eight regional rivals that would need to be protected, so those teams could play every year (SF vs. Oak; LAD vs. LAA; ChC v. ChW; NYM vs. NYY; Cin vs. Cle; Mia vs. TB; StL vs. KC; Was vs. Bal).

This will require a tweaking of the interleague teams that are opponents. Because, now that Houston is switching leagues, all rivalries play for similar divisions (West vs. West, Central vs. Central, East vs. East). When that is in the rotation, no tweaking is required. When the rotation is West vs. East, Central vs. West, East vs. Central (or West vs. Central, Central vs. East, East vs. West), some changes are made. Taking the first pairings and the Giants for example, they would normally play home-and-home's with:

Baltimore, Boston, New York, Tampa Bay, Toronto

But to preserve the rivalry with Oakland:
Baltimore, Boston, New York, Tampa Bay, Toronto,  Oakland

This would cause a chain reaction, involving up to 22 teams. Replacing Toronto with Oakland is arbitrary (it could be any of the AL East teams; it would be have to be done in a 15-year rotation as to which team is "out").

Now for Oakland (vs. NL Central):
Chicago, Cincinnati, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, San Francisco

Toronto (vs. NL West):
Arizona, Colorado, Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, team TBA
The replacement team can be figured out after going through the chain reaction, and find the NL team needing an AL pairing.

The chain continues:
St. Louis (vs. AL West):
Houston, Los Angeles, Oakland, Seattle, Texas, Kansas City

The chain would continue with Kansas City, and so on (to make sure the other six remaining regional rivalries are matched up correctly). If the schedulers really wanted more work, they can separate the teams "crossed off" for the home and road series (ie The Giants miss Toronto at home, but play them on the road, and skip Baltimore).

Monday, December 5, 2011

NFL Week 13 seedings/update

NFC
1- Green Bay (12-0)
NFC North title (clinched)

2- San Francisco (10-2)
NFC West title (clinched)

3- New Orleans (9-3)
NFC South title

4- Dallas (7-5)
NFC East title

5-Chicago (7-5)
Wild Card #1
Conference games (6-3) over Detroit (5-5); head-to-head over Atlanta

6- Atlanta (7-5)
Wild Card #2
head-to-head over Detroit

Matchups:
Wild Card: Atl @ NO; Chi @ Dal
Divisional: Atl/Chi/Dal @ GB; NO/Chi/Dal @ SF

AFC
1- New England (9-3)
AFC East title
Strength of Victory (.426) over Houston (.383) for #1 seed

2- Baltimore (9-3)
AFC North title
Head-to-head sweep over Pittsburgh for top seed in North; head-to-head over Houston for #2 seed

3- Houston (9-3)
AFC South title 

4- Denver (7-5)
AFC West title
Division (3-2) over Oakland (2-2)

5- Pittsburgh (9-3)
Wild Card #1

6- Cincinnati (7-5)
Wild Card #2
Conference (6-4) over Tennessee (5-4) and Oakland/New York (5-5)

Matchups:
Wild Card: Cin @ Hou; Pit @ Den
Divisional: Cin/Pit/Den@ NE; Hou/Pit/Den @ Bal

Draft: (SOS- strength of schedule)
1- Indianapolis (0-12)
2-  Minnesota (2-10, .568 SOS)
3- St. Louis (2-10, .552 SOS)
4- Jacksonville (3-9)
5- Tampa Bay (4-8, .542 SOS)
6- Cleveland (4-8, .531 SOS)
7-Miami (4-8, .521 SOS)
8- Carolina (4-8, .500 SOS)
9- Philadelphia (4-8, .495 SOS)
10- Washington (4-8, .453 SOS)
11- Kansas City (5-7, .521 SOS)
12- Seattle (5-7, .544 SOS)
13- San Diego (5-7, .536 SOS)
14- Buffalo (5-7, .516 SOS)
15- Arizona (5-7, .469 SOS)
16- New York Giants (6-6)
17- Detroit (7-5, .557 SOS) 
18- Oakland (7-5, .521 SOS)
19- New York Jets (7-5, .484 SOS)
20- Tennessee (7-5, .464 SOS)

Friday, December 2, 2011

Restaurant Review: Yard House

A little change up here. Had a chance to preview a new restaurant in Fresno: The Yard House. Located at River Park, it officially opens Sunday, December 4. I had a chance to check it out Friday as part of a media preview pre-opening event.

The Yard House, the latest national chain to invade Fresno, offers a variety of American, Asian and Italian inspired dishes. Most appetizers, salads and sandwiches go for $10-15. Steak, seafood and ribs are in the $20-25 range.

It was a crowded event, but my family and I found a table outside. It was cool, but comforatable with the heaters and a jacket. Servers went around table to table with food samplers.

I must say that everything tasted great. The hamburger/cheeseburgers were very moist, juicy and meaty, made of "natural beef."

Other highlights included the margherita pizza, moo goo egg rolls, penne pasta (although my wife thought it a bit spicy), grilled sweet Korean BBQ beef (sweet & spicy).

Yard House also features many beers and spirits. I tried the Black & Tan, as well as a Cool Mint Martini. I recommend both.

I was impressed by the food and excellent service. No glitches, everything ready to go. The only knock is that inside seating seemed real dark and crowded. I guess it is good if you are out on a date, but tough if you are with your family.

The restaurant had plenty of big screens with sports on. The speakers were also playing adult contemporary music. The music was loud, but not loud enough to drown out any conversation.

Thanks to manager Tim Dolan for the invite.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Week 12 NFL seedings/draft

NFC
1- Green Bay (11-0)
NFC North title
Clinch with win + Det loss/tie or Det & Chi loss
Clinch playoff spot with win or Chi loss or Atl loss or Dal loss or Det loss

2- San Francisco (9-2)
NFC West title
Clinch with win


3- New Orleans (8-3)
NFC South title

4- Dallas (7-4)
NFC East title

5-Chicago (7-4)
Wild Card #1
Common games (4-1) over Detroit (3-2); head-to-head over Atlanta

6- Atlanta (7-4)
Wild Card #2
head-to-head over Detroit

Matchups:
Wild Card: Atl @ NO; Chi @ Dal
Divisional: Atl/Chi/Dal @ GB; NO/Chi/Dal @ SF

AFC
1- Houston (8-3)
AFC South title
Conference (7-2) over New England (6-2) and Baltimore (5-2)

2- New Engalnd (8-3)
AFC East title
Conference (6-2) over Baltimore (5-2)

3- Baltimore (8-3)
AFC North title
Head-to-head sweep over Pittsburgh

4- Oakland (7-4)
AFC West title

5- Pittsburgh (8-3)
Wild Card #1

6- Cincinnati (7-4)
Wild Card #2

Matchups:
Wild Card: Cin @ Bal; Pit @ Oak
Divisional: Cin/Pit/Oak @ Hou; Bal/Pit/Oak @ NE

Draft: (SOS- strength of schedule)
1- Indianapolis (0-11)
2-  Minnesota (2-9, .574 SOS)
3- St. Louis (2-9, .558 SOS)
4-Miami (3-8, .523 SOS)

5- Carolina (3-8, .511 SOS)
6- Jacksonville (3-8, .494 SOS)
7-Seattle (4-7, .558 SOS)

8- Tampa Bay (4-7, .545 SOS)
9- San Diego (4-7, .534 SOS)
10- Cleveland (4-7, .523 SOS)
11- Kansas City (4-7, .517 SOS)
12- Philadelphia (4-7, .506 SOS)
13-Arizona (4-7, .472 SOS)
14- Washington (4-7, .455 SOS)15- Buffalo (5-6)
16- Denver (6-5, .523 SOS)
17-New York Giants (6-5, .511 SOS)
18- New York Jets (6-5, .483 SOS)
19- Tennessee (6-5, .466 SOS)
20- Detroit (7-4)

Dal
SF, Was, StL, Sea, Buf, Was, Mia, NYG, TB, Phi, NYG
Ari, Phi, NE, Det, NYJ

GB
NO, Car, Chi, Den, Atl, StL, Min, SD, Min, TB, Det
NYG, Oak, KC, Chi, Det


Saturday, November 26, 2011

Giants Roster back to full 40

Catching up with the Giants transactions:

Before the Rule 5 roster deadline, the Giants added six, dropped two to bring their 40-man roster up to its complete 40 men.

Additions:
P Hector Correa
P Dan Otero
2B Charlie Culbertson
OF Tyler Graham
OF Roger Kieschnick
1B Angel Villalona

Subtractions:
OF Darren Ford
P Waldis Joaquin
both designated for assignment

Correa finished his sixth professional season (however, he did not pitch in 2009 due to an injury).   He was originally selected by Florida in 2006 and traded to the Giants in March 2009 (for C Ronny Paulino). He has never pitched beyond A-ball.

Otero finished his fifth season of pro ball (Giants 21st rounder in 2007). He made it as high as Triple-A Fresno in 2011.

Culbertson finished his fifth pro season (Giants sandwich pick in 2007) and was invited to 2011 spring training.

Graham finished his sixth pro season and third with Fresno in 2011. He is a Giants 19th round pick in 2006.

Kieschnick is a 2008 third-round pick, finishing his third pro year, and second with Double-A Richmond. Technically, the Giants did not have to add Kieschnick to the 40-man in order to prevent his loss in the Rule 5 draft.

Villalona missed the 2010 and 2011 seaons because of legal trouble back in his homeland of the Dominican Republic. He is considered one of the team's top prospects.

The Giants will have to make corresponding roster moves now for any addition they make (ie trade or free agent signing).

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Week 11 NFL Seedings/Draft Order

Week 11

NFC
1- Green Bay (10-0)
NFC North title

2- San Francisco (9-1)
NFC West title (magic number: 2- can clinch with win or tie and SEA loss)

3- New Orleans (7-3)
NFC South title

4- Dallas (6-4)
Division (2-1) over New York (1-2) over NFC East title

5- Detroit (7-3)
Division (2-1) over Chicago (2-2) for Widl Card #1

6- Chicago (7-3)
Wild Card #2

Match-ups
Wild Card: Chi @ NO; Det @ Dal
Divisional: Chi/Det/Dal @ GB; NO/Det/Dal @ SF

AFC
1- New England (7-3)
AFC East title
Conference w/Hou (both 6-2) over Bal (5-2); Strength of Victory (.471) over Houston (.371) for #1 seed

2-Baltimore (7-3)
AFC North title
Head-to-head (2-0) over Pittsburgh for North tiebreaker; head-to-head (1-0) over Houston for #2 seed


3-Houston (7-3)
AFC South title

4- Oakland (6-4)
AFC West title

5- Pittsburgh (7-3)
Wild Card #1


6- Cincinnati (6-4)
Wild Card #2

Match-ups:
Divisional: Cin @ Hou; Pit @ Oak
Wild Card: Cin/Pit/Oak @ NE; Hou/Pit/Oak @ Bal

Draft Order:
1- y-Indianapolis (0-10)
2- y-Minnesota (2-8, .575 SOS)
3- y- St. Louis (2-8, .550 SOS)
4- Carolina (2-8, .506 SOS)
5- Arizona (3-7, .481 SOS)
6- Jacksonville (3-7, .475 SOS)
7- Washington (3-7, .463 SOS)
8/9- Tampa Bay (4-6, .538 SOS)/ San Diego (4-6, .538 SOS) -coin flip-
10- Kansas City (4-6, .519 SOS)
11- Cleveland (4-6, .513 SOS)
12- Philadelphia (4-6, .506 SOS)
13-Seattle (4-6, .460 SOS)
14- Denver (5-5, .531 SOS)

15- Tennessee (5-5, .456 SOS)16- Buffalo (5-5, .494 SOS)
17- New York Jets (5-5, .488 SOS)
18- New York Giants (6-4, .506 SOS)
20- Atlanta (6-4, .500 SOS)

y-eliminated from division race


Monday, November 14, 2011

NFL Week 10 seeding/draft update

NFC
1- Green Bay (9-0)
NFC North title

2- San Francisco (8-1)
NFC West title
Magic number for West: 3

3- New Orleans (7-3)
NFC South title

4- New York (6-3)
NFC East title

5- Detroit (6-3)
Division (2-1) over Chicago (2-2) for Wild Card #1

6- Chicago (6-3)
Wild Card #2

Matchups
Wild Card: Chi @ NO; Det @ NY
Divisional: Chi/Det/NY @ GB; NO/Det/NY @ SF

AFC
1- Houston (7-3)
AFC South title
Head-to-head (1-0) over Pittsburgh (0-1) for #1 seed

2- Pittsburgh (7-3)
AFC North title

3- New England (6-3)
AFC East title

4- Oakland (5-4)
AFC West title

5- Baltimore (6-3)
Division (2-0) over Cincinnati (1-1) for Wild Card #1

6- Cincinnati (6-3)
Wild Card #2

Matchups
Wild Card: Cin @ NE; Bal @ Oak
Divisional: Cin/Bal/Oak @ Hou; NE/Bal/Oak @ Pit

Draft:
1- Indianapolis (0-10)
2- St. Louis (2-7, .548 SOS)
3- Miami (2-7, .524 SOS)
4- Carolina (2-7, .514 SOS; 0-1 vs. Minnesota)
5- Minnesota (2-7, .514 SOS)
6- Seattle (3-6, .566 SOS)
7- Philadelphia (3-6, .514 SOS)
8- Cleveland (3-6, .507 SOS)

9-Jacksonville (3-6, .487 SOS)
10- Arizona (3-6, .476 SOS)
11- Washington (3-6, .458 SOS)
12- Denver (4-5, .549 SOS)
13- Tampa Bay (4-5, .534 SOS)
14- San Diego (4-5, .528 SOS)
15- Kansas City (4-5, .514 SOS)16- Atlanta (5-4, .507 SOS)
17-Buffalo (5-4, .493 SOS)
18- Dallas (5-4, .477 SOS)
19- New York Jets (5-4, .472 SOS)
20-Tennessee (5-4, .447 SOS)

Friday, November 11, 2011

Giants Melky info

This week, the San Francisco Giants traded for KC Royals OF Melky Cabrera. They traded P Jonathan Sanchez and minor league pitcher Ryan Verdugo.

In essence, the Giants swapped one arbitration-eligible player for another. Cabrera does not currently have a contract, but is 22 days shy of being free-agent eligible (5 years, 148 days). Thus, Cabrera is eligible for arbitration. According to Cot's Contracts, Melky earned $1.25M in a one year deal signed with Kansas City. After a productive season, he is expected to earn more.

Sanchez has five years plus service time, also arbitration eligible, but not yet a free agent. He earned $4.8M last year and did not have a productive year.

NFL Week 9 playoff/draft updates

NFL Week 9 Update

NFC playoff seeds

1- Green Bay (8-0)
NFC North title

2- San Francisco (7-1)
NFC West title
Magic number to clinch division: 4 (combo of wins and Seattle/Arizona losses)

3- New York (6-2)
NFC East title

4- New Orleans (6-3)
NFC South title

5- Detroit (6-2)
Wild Card #1

6- Chicago (5-3)
Wild Card #2
Head-to-head (1-0) over Atlanta (0-1) for #6 seed

Matchups:
Wild Card: Chi @ NY; Det @ NO
Divisional: Chi/Det/NO @ GB; NY/Det/NO @ SF

AFC playoff seeds
1- Cincinnati (6-2)
AFC North title
Common games (1.000, 2-0) over Baltimore (.000, 0-2) for North title

2- Houston (6-3)
AFC South title

3- New England (5-3)
AFC East title
w/New York, division record (2-1) over Buffalo (1-1); head-to-head (1-0) over New York (0-1) for East title

4- Kansas City (4-4)
AFC West title
Head-to-head record (2-1) over Oakland (0-1) and San Diego (1-1) for West title

5- Baltimore (6-2)
Wild Card #1

6- Pittsburgh (6-3)
Wild Card #2

Matchups:
Wild Card: Pit @ NE; Bal @ KC
Divisional: Pit/Bal/SD @ Cin; NE/Bal/KC@ Hou

Draft (SOS based on 16-game season)
1- Indianapolis (0-9)
2- St. Louis (1-7, .546 SOS)
3- Miami (1-7, .543 SOS)
4- Minnesota (2-6, .581 SOS)
5- Seattle (.2-6, .554 SOS)
6- Carolina (2-6, .515 SOS)
7- Jacksonville (2-6, .500 SOS)
8- Arizona (2-6, .473 SOS)
9- Denver (3-5, .555 SOS)
10- Philadelphia (3-5, .500 SOS)
11- Cleveland (3-5, .492 SOS)
12-Washington (3-5, .453 SOS)
13- Oakland (4-4, .527 SOS)
14- Tampa Bay (4-4, .530 SOS)
15- San Diego (4-4, .523 SOS)
16-Dallas (4-4, .490 SOS)
17- Tennessee (4-4, .463 SOS)
18- Atlanta (5-3, .504 SOS)
19- Buffalo (5-3, .492 SOS)
20- New York Jets (5-3, .477 SOS)


Wednesday, November 2, 2011

NFL Week 8 update

NFC

1- Green Bay (7-0)
NFC North title

2- San Francisco (6-1)
NFC West title [magic number: 6]

3- New York (5-2)
NFC East title

4- New Orleans (5-3)
NFC South title

5- Detroit (6-2)
Wild Card #1

6- Chicago (4-3)
head-to-head (1-0) over Tampa Bay for #6 seed; Tampa Bay head-to-head (1-0) over Atlanta for division seeding

Matchups:
Wild Card: Chi @ NYG; Det @ NO
Divisional: Chi/Det/NO @ GB; NYG/Det/NO @ SF

AFC
1- Pittsburgh (6-2)
AFC North title

2-  Buffalo (5-2)
Head-to-head (1-0) over New England for AFC East title


3-Houston (5-3)
AFC South title

4- Kansas City (4-3)
Head-to-head (2-1) over San Diego (1-1) and Oakland (0-1) for AFC West title

5- Cincinnati (5-2)
Common game pct. (1.000, 1-0) over Baltimore (.000, 0-1) to break divisional tie; Conference pct. (.800, 4-1) over New England (.667, 4-2) for #5 seed

6- New England (5-2)
Conference pct. (.667, 4-2) over Baltimore (.600, 3-2) for #6 seed

Matchups:
Wild Card: NE @ Hou; Cin @ KC
Divisional: NE/Cin/KC @ Pit; Hou/Cin/KC @ Buf

Draft Order:
1- Miami (0-7, SOS- .566)
2- Indianapolis (0-8, .529)
3- St. Louis (1-6, .535)
4- Arizona (1-6, .478)
5- Minnesota (2-6, .578)
6- Carolina (2-6, .496)
7- Jacksonville (2-6, .487)
8- Denver (2-5, .570)
9- Seattle (2-5, .538)
10- Dallas (3-4, .493)
11-Philadelphia (3-4, .482)
12- Cleveland (3-4, .479)
13- Washington (3-4, .439)
14- Oakland (4-3, .530)
15-San Diego (4-3, .522)

16- Atlanta (4-3, .496); lost head-to-head vs. Tampa Bay for #16 slot
17- Tampa Bay (4-3, .496)
18- New York Jets (4-3, .487)
19-Tennessee (4-3, .455)
20- Baltimore (5-2, .479)


Tuesday, October 25, 2011

NFL Week 7 Update

Playoff seedings:

AFC:
1- New England (5-1)
AFC East champ

2- Pittsburgh (5-2)
AFC North champ

3- San Diego (4-2)
AFC West champ

4- Houston (4-3)
AFC South champ

5- Cincinnati (4-2)
head-to head (1-0) over Buffalo for #5 seed; Conference pct. (.800, 4-1) over Baltimore (.600, 3-2) for division seeding

6- Buffalo (4-2)
Conference pct. (.750, 3-1) over Baltimore (.600, 3-2) for #6 seed

Match-ups:
Wild Card: Buf @ SD; Cin @ Hou
Divisional: Buf/Cin/Hou @ NE; SD/Cin/Hou @ Pit

NFC
1- Green Bay (7-0)
NFC North champ

2- San Francisco (5-1)
NFC West champ

3- New Orleans (5-2)
NFC South champ

4- New York (4-2)
NFC East champ

5- Detroit (5-2)

6- Chicago (4-3)
head-to-head (1-0) over Tampa Bay for #6 seed; Tampa Bay head-to-head (1-0) over Atlanta for division seeding

Match-ups:
Wild Card: Chi @ NO; Det @ NYG
Divisional: Chi/Det/NYG @ GB; NO/Det/NYG @ SF

Draft:
NOTE: tiebreakers are broken by Strength of Schedule. For calcuations, I am basing it on the full-16 game schedule, as opposed to SOS through week 7 [total wins of 16 opponents on 2011 schedule/256 (ie 16 teams x 16 games]

1- Miami (0-6, .580 SOS)
2- St. Louis (0-6, .545)
3- Indianapolis (0-7, .543)
4- Minnesota (1-6, .143)
5- Arizona (1-5, .167)
6- Carolina (2-5, .514)
7- Jacksonville (2-5, .500)
8- Denver (2-4, .573)
9- Seattle (2-4, .516)
10- Philadelphia (2-4, .495)
11- Kansas City (3-3, .524)
12-  Dallas (3-3, .492)
13-  Cleveland (3-3, .461)
14- Tennessee (3-3, .458)
15- Washington (3-3, .424)
16- Oakland (4-3, .539)
17-Tampa Bay (4-3, .514)
18- Atlanta (4-3, .510)
19- New York Jets (4-3, .500)
20- Buffalo (4-2, .505)

Thursday, October 20, 2011

NFL Draft Order after Week 6

Team (record, Strength of Schedule)
1- Miami (0-5, .567)
2- St. Louis (0-5, .557)
3- Indianapolis (0-6, .516)
4- Minnesota (1-5, .604)
5- Carolina (1-5, .516)
6- Jacksonville (1-5, .495)
7- Denver (1-4, .600)
8- Arizona (1-4, .466)
9- Philadelphia (2-4, .333)
10- Kansas City (2-3, .538)
11- Seattle (2-3, .518)
12- Dallas (2-3, .509)
13- Cleveland (2-3, .483)
14- Chicago (3-3, .554)
15- New York Jets (3-3, .511)
16- Atlanta (3-3, .500)
17- Houston (3-3, .418)
18- Washington (3-2, .422)
19- Oakland (4-2, .523)
20- Pittsburgh (4-2, .483)

Note: SOS calculations based on full 16-game schedule, as opposed to games played to this point.

Monday, October 17, 2011

Indy Tragedy Hit Fresno Before

The tragic death of Indy Car driver Dan Wheldon has cast a pall on the auto racing world. It is not the first fatal accident in the ultra-macho, ultra-dangerous sport. A tragic event has hit the Fresno community before.

Former Indy 500 racing champ Bill Vukovich of Fresno died at the 1955 Indianapolis 500.

Here are some links about the life and racing of Vukovich
Vukovich Accident
Info on the Vukovich memorial outside Selland Arena, downtown Fresno

Video of the fatal crash:


Sunday, October 16, 2011

NFL Week 6- Current Playoff Seedings (AFC & NFC)

After all the Sunday day games, the playoff seedings are set (not dependent on the Sunday and Monday night games). If the season ended today, here is the playoff rankings, as determined by the NFL tiebreaking procedures. Any questions? E-mail me at 1davidtaub@gmail.com.

NFC
1- Green Bay (6-0)
North title

2- San Francisco (5-1)
West title

3- Tampa Bay (4-2)
Head-to-head (1-0) over New Orleans for South title; Strength of Victory (SOV) over New York [final numbers determined after Min/Chi game] for #3 seed

4- New York (4-2)
East title

5- Detroit (5-1)
Wild Card

6- New Orleans (4-2)
Wild Card

NOTES: a rarity, that only two tiebreakers are needed total, both for Tampa Bay. Tampa gets the nod over the Giants based on SOV, which will still be greater even if Minnesota (whom TB beat) loses, reducing its total SOV.

Matchups:
Wild Card: NO @ TB; Det @ NYG
Divisional: NO/Det/NYG @ GB; TB/Det/NYG @ SF

AFC
1- New England (5-1)
East title

2- Balitmore (4-1)
North title; SOV over San Diego for #2 seed [final figures to be determined after Mia/NYJ game]

3- San Diego (4-1)
West title


4- Tennessee (3-2)
South title

5- Cincinnati (4-2)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over Pittsburgh (.000, 0-1) for top seed in North; Conference pct. (.800, 4-1) over Buffalo (.750, 3-1) and Oakland (.667, 4-2) for Wild Card

6- Buffalo (4-2)
Conference Pct. (.750, 3-1) over Oakland (.667, 4-2) and Pittsburgh (.600, 3-2) for Wild Card

NOTES: Both Baltimore's and San Diego's final SOV is dependent on the Mia/NYJ game, but either way, Baltimore will be higher. For Cincinnati, they first have to break the inter-division tie with Pittsburgh before being matched with the other 4-2 teams.

Matchups:
Wild Card: Buf @ SD; Cin @ Ten
Divisional: Buf/Cin/Ten @ NE; SD/Cin/Ten @ Bal

The draft order will be finalized after the Monday night game. Check back for more.

Monday, October 10, 2011

NFL Week 5...If the week eneded today (NFC & Draft Order)

If the season ended today, here is the NFC playoff seeding:
(note- SOV=strength of victory (win pct. of the team's they defeated thus far; SOS=strength of schedule (win pct. of the team's 16 opponents thus far)

1- Green Bay (5-0)
SOV (.520) over Detroit (.417) for North title

2- San Francisco (4-1)
West title; Conference pct. (.750, 3-1) over New Orleans (.667, 2-1) for #2 seed

3- New Orleans (4-1)
South title

4- Washington (3-1)
East title

5- Detroit (5-0)
Wild card

6- New York (3-2)
Conference pct. (.600, 3-2) over Tampa Bay (.500, 2-2)

Matchups:
Wild Card: NY @ NO; Det @ Was
Divisional: NY/Det/Was @ GB; NO/Det/Was @ SF

Draft order: (record, SOS, the first tiebreaker)
1- Indianapolis (0-5, .526 SOS)
2- St. Louis (0-4, .539)
3- Miami (0-4, .571)
4- Arizona (1-4, .459)
5/6- Philadelphia/Jacksonville (both 1-4, .500) -coin flip-
7- Carolina (1-4, .532)
8- Denver (1-4, .595)
9- Minnesota (1-4, .608)
10- Seattle (2-3, .486)
11/12- Atlanta/New York Jets (both 2-3, .520) -coin flip-
13- Kansas City (2-3, .532)
14- Chicago (2-3, .563)
15- Cleveland (2-2, .461)
16- Dallas (2-2, .505)
17- Tennessee (3-2, .436)
18- Pittsburgh (3-2, .480)
19- Tampa Bay (3-2, .506)
20- Oakland (3-2, .538)

Sunday, October 9, 2011

NFL Week 5...If the week eneded today (AFC)

If the season ended today, here is the AFC playoff seeding:

 1- Buffalo (4-1)
Head-to-head over New England (1-0) for East title; SOV (.500) over San Diego (.211) for #1 seed

2- San Diego (4-1)
West title

3- Baltimore (3-1)
North title

4- Houston (3-2)
Division (1.000, 1-0) over Tennessee (.000, 0-1) for South title

5- New England (4-1)
Wild Card

6- Cincinnati (3-2)
Division (1.000, 1-0) over Pittsburgh (.000, 0-1) for higher seed among North teams; Conference (.750, 3-1) over Oakland/Tennessee (both .600, 3-2) for Wild Card

Matchups:
Wild Card: Cin @ Bal; NE @ Hou
Divisional: Cin/NE/Hou @ Buf; Bal/NE/Hou @ SD

NFC matchups and draft order after Monday Night Football.

Monday, October 3, 2011

NFL Week 4- If the season ended today... (NFC seedings & draft order)

After Week 4..

NFC Playoff seedings:
1- Green Bay (4-0)
SOV (. 438) over Detroit (.375) for North title

2- Washington (3-1)
Head-to-head (1-0) over New York for East title; conference pct. (.750, 3-1) over San Francisco/ Tampa Bay (both .667, 2-1) for #2 seed

3- San Francisco (3-1)
SOV (.333) over Tampa Bay (.167) for #3 seed

4- Tampa Bay (3-1)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over New Orleans (.000, 0-0) for South title

5- Detroit (4-0)

6-  New York (3-1)
Conference pct. (.750, 3-1) over New Orleans (.500, 1-1)

Matchups:
Wild Card: NYG @ SF; Det @ TB
Divisional: NYG/Det/TB @ GB; SF/Det/TB @ Was

Draft order (record, SOS):
1- St. Louis (0-4, .531)
2- Indianapolis (0-4, .563)
3- Miami (0-4, .578)
4- Minnesota (0-4, .625)
5- Arizona (1-3, .422)
6/7- Seattle/Kansas City (both 1-3, .500) coin flip
8- Philadelphia (1-3, .516)
9- Denver (1-3, .547) -worse conference pct. (.333) than Jacksonville (.500)
10- Jacksonvilel (1-3, .547)
11- Carolina (1-3, .578)
12- Cleveland (2-2, .438)
13- Pittsburgh (2-2, .469) -worse division pct. (.000, 0-1) than Cincinnati (1.000, 1-0)
14- Cincinnati (2-2, .469)
15- New York (2-2, .500) -lost head-to-head (0-1) to Oakland
16- Oakland (2-2, .500)
17- Dallas (2-2, .526)
18- Chicago (2-2, .532)
19- Atlanta (2-2, .550)
20- New Orleans (3-1, .500)

Giants roster- option years left

Continuing from my prior post, the amount of option years remaining for Giants on the 40-man roster.

A quick word on options. It is the transaction used to send a player from the 25-man roster to the minors. The player must be on the 40-man roster at the time. In most cases, the player has three option years. The club can send the player up and down as many times in a given year, while only using up one option. There are exceptions to the three-option year rule, as in the case of Conor Gillaspie. Since he will be entering his fifth year of pro ball in 2012, he has a fourth option year.

Although a team may not utilize all its options on a player during their first three years on the 40-man, once a player achieves three years of MLB service time, they have the right to refuse the option and become free agents.

Here is the list of option-eligible players on the Giants 40-man and options left, starting in 2012 (and years options used).

Buster Posey, C (2 remaining; used in 2009)
Madison Bumgarner, P (2; 2010)
Dan Runzler, P (2; 2011)
Brandon Belt, 1B-OF (3; 2011-1st pro season in 2010, thus has four option years)
Ehire Adrianza, SS (2; 2011)
Brandon Crawford, SS (3; 2011- 1st full pro season in 2009, thus has four option years)
Steve Edlefsen, P (2; 2011)
Darren Ford, OF (1; 2010, 2011)
Conor Gillaspie, 3B (1; 2009, 2010, 2011- has four option years)
Francisco Peguero, OF (1; 2010, 2011)
Brett Pill, 1B (2; 2010)
Hector Sanchez, C (3; 2011- has four option years [only two seasons, 2010-11, at long-season pro clubs)
Chris Stewart, C (1; 2007 w/Tex; 2008 w/NYY)
Eric Surkamp, P (3; no options used [optioned in 2011, but spent less than 20 days on optional assignment, thus it does not count as option])
Waldis Joaquin, P (1; 2009, 2010)
Justin Christian, OF (2; 2008 with NYY)

NFL Week 4...If the week eneded today (AFC)

Week 4 playoff seedings for AFC (NFC will be known after Monday Night Football):

1- Houston (3-1)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over Tennessee (.000, 0-1) for South title; Conference pct. (1.000, 3-0) over Buffalo (.750, 3-1) and Baltimore/San Diego (.667, 2-1 each) for #1 seed

2- Buffalo (3-1)
Head-to-head over New England (1-0) for East title; Conference pct. (1.000, 3-0) over Baltimore/San Diego (.667, 2-1 each) for #2 seed

3-Baltimore (3-1)
SOV (.333) over San Diego (.083) for #3 seed

4- San Diego (3-1)

5- Tennessee (3-1)
SOV (.500) over New England (.417)

6- New England (3-1)

matchups:
Wild Card: NE @ Bal; Ten @ SD
Divisional: NE/Ten/SD @ Hou; Bal/Ten/SD @ Buf

Friday, September 30, 2011

SF Giants 40-man Status

Thanks to Cot's Cotntracs, here's what's on tap for the current Giants 40-man (42-man) roster:

Signed through 2012 (or longer):
Barry Zito, P (through 2013/ 2014 club option)
Aubrey Huff, OF (2012/ 2013 club option)
Matt Cain, P (2012)
Brian Wilson, P (2012)
Freddy Sanchez, 2B (2012)
Jeremy Affeldt (2012 club option)
TOTAL: 6

Free Agents:
Carlos Beltran, OF
Cody Ross, P
Mark DeRosa, Inf
Javier Lopez, P
Pat Burrell, OF
Orlando Cabrera, SS
Guillermo Mota, P
TOTAL: 7

Arbitration eligible:
Tim Lincecum, P
Jonathan Sanchez, P
Jeff Keppinger, 2B
Andres Torres, OF
Ramon Ramirez, P
Santiago Casilla, P
Mike Fontenot, Inf
Ryan Vogelsong, P
Pablo Sandoval, 3B
Sergio Romo, P
Nate Schierholtz, OF
Eli Whiteside, C
Emmanuel Burriss, Inf
 TOTAL: 13


Under team control (not arbitration eligible/ not officially under 2012 contract):
Buster Posey, C
Madison Bumgarner, P
Dan Runzler, P
Brandon Belt, 1B-OF
Ehire Adrianza, SS
Brandon Crawford, SSSteve Edlefsen, P
Darren Ford, OF
Conor Gillaspie, 3B
Francisco Peguero, OF
Brett Pill, 1B
Hector Sanchez, C
Chris Stewart, C
Eric Surkamp, P
Waldis Joaquin, P
Justin Christian, OF
TOTAL: 16

Will report option years available soon.

Monday, September 26, 2011

NFL Week 3- NFC If the Season Ended Today...Plus Draft Order

NFC seeds

1- Green Bay (3-0)
SOV (.444) over Detroit (.222)

2- Dallas (2-1)
Head-to-Head (1-0) over New York (0-1) and Washington (1-1) for East title; Conference pct. (1.000, 2-0) over Tampa Bay (.667, 2-1) and San Francisco (.500, 1-1) for #2 seed.

3- Tampa Bay (2-1)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over New Orleans (.000, 0-0) for South title; Conference pct.(.667, 2-1) and San Francisco (.500, 1-1) for #3 seed.

4- San Francisco (2-1)
no tiebreaker needed

5- Detroit (3-0)
no tiebreaker needed

6- Washington (2-1)
Head-to-Head (1-0) over New York (0-1); Conference pct. (.667, 2-1) over New Orleans (.500, 1-1) for #6 seed.

Draft order: (record, SOS [the tiebreaker for draft position]):
1- Kansas City (0-3, .542)
2- Indianapolis (0-3, .556)
3- St. Louis (0-3, .578)
4- Minnesota (0-3, .583)
5- Miami (0-3, .625)
6- Arizona (1-2, .438)
7- Seattle (1-2, .489)
[correction: upon clarification from the NFL, you break ties within the conference then match them up with the other conference team, then go to the coin flip]
{note teams 8-13 all have 1-2 records and SOS of .521, thus have to be broken down by conference, then paired up against opposite conference team for coin flip}
8-9 Carolina [conference pct. (.000, 0-2) over Chicago/Philadelphia (both .333, 1-2)]/ Denver [conference pct. (.333, 1-2) over Cincinnati/Jacksonville (both .500, 1-1)] -coin flip-
10-11 Philadelphia [SOV (.000) over Chicago (.333)]/ Jacksonville [combined points for/points against ranking in conference (15 + 7= 22) over Cincinnati (10 + 3= 13) -coin flip-
12-13 Chicago/ Cincinnati -coin flip-
14- Atlanta (1-2, .533)
15- Pittsburgh (2-1, .438) [tiebreaker- worse conference pct. (.500, 1-1) than Cleveland (.667, 2-1)
16- Cleveland (2-1, .438)
17- New Orleans (2-1, .458)
18- San Diego (2-1, .479)
19- New York Jets (2-1, .521)
20- New York Giants (2-1, .542)
21-32 based on playoff exit

Sunday, September 25, 2011

NFL Week 3- AFC If the Season Ended Today...

Here are the latest playoff rankings, if the season ended today for the AFC (NFC after tomorrow). It is a little easier now that there are more games, meaning the tie-breakers don't have to go so deep. Yet, it is still early for the common games tiebreaker.

1- Buffalo (3-0)
No tiebreaker needed (only AFC undefeated team).

2- Houston (2-1)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over Tennessee (.000, 0-1) for the South; Conference pct. (1.000, 2-0) over Oakland (2-1, .667) and Baltimore (1-1, .500) for #2 seed.

3- Oakland (2-1)
Conference pct. (2-1, .667) over San Diego (1-1, .500) for West; Conference pct. (2-1, .667) over Baltimore (1-1) for #3 seed

4- Baltimore (2-1)
Division pct. (1.000, 1-0) over Cleveland (.000, 0-1) and Pittsburgh (.000, 0-1) for North

5- Tennessee (2-1)
SOV (.500) over New England (.333) and Cleveland (.000); Conference pct. (.667, 2-1, w/New England and Cleveland) over San Diego (.500, 1-1).

6- New England (2-1)
Division pct. (.500, 1-1) over New York (.000, 0-0); SOV (.333) over Cleveland (.000); Conference pct. (.667, 2-1, w/Cleveland) over San Diego (.500, 1-1).

Matchups:
Wild Card: NE @ Oak; Ten @ Bal
Divisional: NE/Ten/Bal @ Buf; Oak/Ten/Bal @ Hou

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Wishful Thinking- Giants post-season roster options

The power of positive thinking. Here is the playoff-eligible players available for the Giants post-season. All were on the roster (or DL) as of August 31:

PITCHERS
Tim Lincecum
Matt Cain
Ryan Vogelsong
Madison Bumgarner

Steve Edlefsen
Guillermo Mota
Santiago Casilla
Ramon Ramirez
Sergio Romo
Javier Lopez
Jeremy Affeldt*
Brian Wilson

Barry Zito
Jonathan Sanchez (DL)

CATCHERS
Chris Stewart
Eli Whiteside
Buster Posey (DL)

INFIELDERS:
Aubrey Huff

Jeff Keppinger
Orlando Cabrera
Pablo Sandoval
Mike Fontenot
Brandon Belt
Brett Pill
Freddy Sanchez (DL)

OUTFIELDERS
Cody Ross
Andres Torres
Carlos Beltran
Pat Burrell
Nate Schierholtz (DL)

NOTES:
The list breaks down to 14 pitchers (including one on the DL and one not on the DL but done for the season); 3 catchers (including Posey); 8 infielders (including Sanchez); and 5 outfielders (including on eon the DL). That is a total of 30 players, but in reality 26 or 27 "healthy" bodies.

With Affeldt's injury, and assuming he will not be on the post-season roster, the Giants would be allowed to replace him with a man not on the above list (ie Surkamp or Runzler). Same applies to Cody Ross. Schierholtz and Jonathan Sanchez would also be allowed to be replaced (ML Rule 40 (a) (3) ). However, Posey and Freddy Sanchez would not be allowed to be replaced because they are on the 60-day DL (ML Rule 2(g)(2), yet they in theory could be activated themselves to play.

So, the Giants can chose 25 of the above, or select those not on the list to replace the injured (likely 2-3 extra spots).

Monday, September 19, 2011

If the season ended today...NFC Week 2

Now, with the football season up to Week 2 in the NFL, here is the order of finish for the NFC

1- Washington (2-0)
SOV (.500) over Detroit (.250) for #1 seed

2- Detroit (2-0)
SOS (.438) over Green Bay (.406) for North

3- Atlanta (1-1)
SOV (.500) with New Orleans (.500) over Tampa Bay (.000); SOS (.467) over New Orleans (.438) for South; SOV (.500) over San Francisco (.000) for #3 seed

4- San Francisco (1-1)
Division (1.000) over Arizona (.000) for West

5- Green Bay (2-0)
No tiebreaker needed

6- Dallas (1-1)
Conference pct. (1.000) over New York (.000) and Philadelphia (.000) to separate east teams; Conference pct. (1.000) Chicago (.500), New Orleans (.500) and Arizona (.500)

Matchups:
Wild Card: Dal @ Atl; GB @ SF
Divisional: Dal/GB/SF @ Was; Atl/GB/SF @ Det

Draft Order (record) (strength of schedule - which is main tiebreaker)
1- Seattle (0-2) (SOS .500)
2- St. Louis (0-2) (SOS .533)
3/4- Kansas City/ Carolina (both 0-2) (both SOS .563) coin flip
5- Indianapolis (0-2) (SOS .567)
6- Minnesota (0-2) (SOS .594)
7- Miami (0-2) (SOS .719)
8- Arizona (1-1) (SOS .344)
9- Cleveland (1-1) (SOS .406)
10/11- New Orleans/Pittsburgh (1-1) (SOS .438) coin flip
12/13/14- Tampa Bay/ Cincinnati/ Chicago (1-1) (SOS .469) coin flip
15- Tennessee (1-1) [head to head 0-1 vs. Jacksonville] (SOS .500)
16- Jacksonville (1-1) (SOS .500)
17- San Diego (1-1) [confrence (.000) vs. Denver (.500)] (SOS .531)
18- Denver (1-1) (SOS .531)
19- Philadelphia (1-1) (SOS .563)
20- New York Giants (1-1) (SOS .594)
21-32 playoff teams

Sunday, September 18, 2011

If the week ended today- AFC week 2

If the season ended today, here is how the AFC playoff picture stacks up (NFC after Monday Night Football).

1- New England (2-0)
Division (1-0 over New York and Buffalo (0-0 each) for East; Strength of Victory (SOV) percentage (.250) over Houston (.000) for #1 seed

2- Houston (2-0)
no tie-breaker needed

3- Oakland (1-1)
Best head-to-head (1-0) over Denver (0-1) and San Diego (0-0) for West; Strength of Schedule (SOS) pct. (.563) over Baltimore (.484 if St. Louis loses Monday or .500 if St. Louis wins) for #2 seed

4- Baltimore (1-1)
Division (1-0) with Cincinnati (1-0) over Cleveland and Pittsburgh (0-0 each); Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed (7 points for/ 4 points allowed= 11) over Cincinnati (6/6 = 12).

5- New York (2-0)
SOV (.500) over Buffalo (.000)

6- Buffalo (2-0)
no tie-breaker needed

Match-ups:
Wild Card: Buf @ Oak; NY @ Bal
Divisional: Buf/NY/Bal @ NE; Oak/NY/Bal @ Hou

Monday, September 12, 2011

If the season ended today... (part 2)

After the completion of week 1 in the NFL, here is how the playoffs and draft order breaks down, if the season ended today (see prior post for NFC playoffs).

AFC
1- Oak (1-0)
Divisional pct. (1.00) over SD (.000) for West title; Strength of Schedule (SOS) (.563) over Bal (.500), NE (.500) and Jax (.375) for #1 seed.

2- Bal (1-0)
SOS (.500) over Cin (.438) for North title; Strength of Schedule (.500) w/NE (.500) over Jax (.375);  Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed (3 rank for offense/1 for defense = 4) over NE (2/10) for #2 seed.

3- NE (1-0)
Divisional (1.00) over NYJ and Buf (.000) for East title; SOS (.500) over Jax (.375) for #3 seed.

4- Jax (1-0)
SOS (.375) over Hou (.313) for South title and #4 seed.

5- Buf (1-0)
Conference pct. (1.00) over NYJ (.000); Conference pct. (1.00) w/Hou and Cin over SD (.000); SOS (.563) over Cin (.438) and Hou (.313) for #5 seed.

6- Cin (1-0)
Conference pct. (1.00) w/Hou over SD and NYJ (.000); SOS (.438) over Hou (.313) for #6 seed.

NYJ, SD, Hou are odd teams out with 1-0 records.

Match-Ups:
Wild Card: Cin @ NE; Buf @ Jax
Divisional: Cin/Buf/Jax @ Oak; NE/Buf/Jax @ Bal

On the Clock...NFL Draft order (not taking into account any rights already traded)
1- New Orleans (0-1) (SOS .313)
2- Tampa Bay (0-1) (.375)
3- Atlanta (0-1) (.400)
4- Tennessee (0-1) (.438)
5- Indianapolis (0-1) (.467)
6- Dallas (0-1) (.525)
7- Pittsburgh (0-1) (tied w/Cle .563 SOS; worse combined point for/point against ranking among conference teams (14/14 = 28) over Cle (9/12 = 21))
8- Cleveland (0-1) (.563)
9- St. Louis (0-1) (tied w/Sea .600 SOS; worse combined point for/point against ranking among conference teams (12/14= 28) over Sea (12/14= 26))
10- Seattle (0-1) (.600)
11/12/13- Minnesota/ New York Giants/ Kansas City (SOS all .625, but because a conference tie breaker does not apply (two NFC teams, one AFC), a coin flip will determine these slots
14- Miami (0-1) (tied w/Den .688 SOS; worse combined point for/point against ranking among conference teams (7/15 = 22) over Den (10/9 = 19))
15- Denver (0-1) (.688)
16- Houston (1-0) (.313)
17- Green Bay (1-0) (tied w/Ari .375 SOS; worse combined point for/point against ranking among conference teams (1/15 = 16) over Ari (6/ 6= 12))
18- Arizona (1-0) (.375)
19- New York Jets (1-0) (tied w/SD .625 SOS; worse combined point for/point against ranking among conference teams (5/10 = 15) over SD (7/6 = 13))
20-32- playoff teams to be determined by order of elimination

Week 1 NFL Announcers and Uniforms


2011 NFL Announcers and Uniforms

Here is another group of stats I like to keep- uniform/pant colors, blackout tracking and announcers. Here they are in the following chart.
Key for colors- 
w: white; go: gold; gre: green; bla: black; l.b.: light blue; blu; blue; slv: silver; gra: gray; bu: burgundy; a: aqua; o: orange; r: red

Week 1(Sept. 8-12) Fox DH
Th       7:30p C      NO (w, go)     GB (gre, go)    NBC                  Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth; Michelle Tafoya
Su       1pE            Pit (bla, go)    Bal (w, bla)      CBS                                         Jim Nantz, Phil Simms
Su       1pE            Ten (l.b., blu) Jax (w, w)        CBS                                           Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts
Su       1pE            Cin (bla, w)    Cle (w, w)        CBS                          Kevin Harlan, Solomon Wilcots
Su       12pC          Ind (blu, w)    Hou (w,w)       CBS                                Greg Gumbel, Dan Dierdorf
Su       12pC          Buf (w,w)       KC (r, w)          CBS                                   Marv Albert, Rich Gannon
Su       1pE            Det (blu, slv)  TB (w, w)         Fox-b                                       Chris Myers, Tim Ryan
Su       12pC          Atl (w, w)        Chi (blu, w)     Fox                 Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston; Tony Siragusa
Su       12pC          Phi (w, gre)    StL (blu, blu)   Fox  Thom Brennaman, Brian Billick; Laura Okmin
Su       4:15pE       NYG (w, gra) Was (bu, go)   Fox                    Joe Buck, Troy Aikman; Pam Oliver
Su       1:15pMS    Car (w, w)      Ari (r, w)           Fox                            Sam Rosen, Chad Pennington
Su       1:15pP       Sea(w, w)      SF (r, go)         Fox                                   Dick Stockton, John Lynch
Su       1:15pP       Min (pu, w)    SD (w, blu)      Fox                                           Ron Pitts, Jim Mora Jr.
Su       8:20pE       Dal (w, blu)    NYJ (gre, w)    NBC                  Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth; Michelle Tafoya
M         7pE            NE (w, blu)    Mia (a, w)        ESPN  Mike Tirico, Jon Gurden, Ron Jaworski; Suzy Kobler
M         9:15p          Oak (w, slv)   Den (o, w)       ESPN                                  Brad Nessler, Trent Dilfer


Note: All NFL teams on Sunday (not Thursday or Monday) wore a red, white and blue ribbon to commemorate the tenth anniversary of 9/11/01.